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- W2059775090 abstract "This paper considers a model of debt stabilization under a fixed exchange rate in which a currency crisis can develop as the result of self-fulfilling speculation, following a bifurcation in the behavior of economic fundamentals. Based on this theoretical framework and by exploiting the test developed by Jeanne (1997), this paper provides evidence that self-fulfilling speculation was at work in the 1994 Mexican crisis. In terms of fundamentals, we show that the critical variables in generating the Mexican crisis were the fast rise in US$-denominated public debt (tesebonos), the appreciated real exchange rate and the small rises in unemployment and primary deficit." @default.
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- W2059775090 date "2004-06-01" @default.
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- W2059775090 title "Economic fundamentals and self-fulfilling crises: further evidence from Mexico" @default.
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- W2059775090 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2004.03.008" @default.
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