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- W120765395 abstract "All variations in price-dividend ratios result from either movements in expected returns or expected dividend growth rates. If growth rates contain a persistent component, even small changes in expected near-term dividends can cause large movements in prices. I derive closed-form solutions for the relation between the persistency of dividend growth rates and the ability of price-dividend ratios to forecast future dividends. For a constant risk premium, it is possible to match the low predictability of near-term dividends by choosing a sufficiently long half-life of news, however, this long half-life implies a counterfactual high degree of predictability for long-term dividend growth rates." @default.
- W120765395 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W120765395 date "2012-01-01" @default.
- W120765395 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W120765395 title "On the Relation between the Persistence and Predictability of Dividend Growth Rates" @default.
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- W120765395 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2197388" @default.
- W120765395 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
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