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- W1416027276 abstract "The Arctic offshore is an extremely difficult area for petroleum industry activity due to distance from infrastructure, harsh climate, unpredictable weather conditions, and vulnerability of the eco system. However, it is also a region with great oil and gas potential. A model developed in this paper studies the oil and gas extraction strategies of two countries, Norway and Russia, wanting to enter the Arctic offshore. The strategies are analysed through using a war of attrition game, where both countries play a mixed strategy, i.e. they enter the Arctic offshore in every period with some probability. First, the model studies the effect of two sources of inertia, namely the second-mover advantage, arising due to a technology spillover, and the irreversibility of investment. Both of these factors are found to hinder the entry to the Arctic offshore. In addition, the model is extended to include a possibility of an oil spill occurring in the Arctic offshore and a periodical reduction in the expected investment payoff. The possibility of an oil spill is found to reduce the countries willingness to enter the Arctic, whereas the periodical reduction in expected investment payoff is found to increase the willingness of the countries to enter the Arctic, as the sooner the extraction starts, the larger the expected investment payoffs will be, ceteris paribus." @default.
- W1416027276 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W1416027276 date "2015-01-01" @default.
- W1416027276 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W1416027276 title "War of attrition in the Arctic offshore: Technology spillovers and risky investments in oil and gas extraction" @default.
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