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• W1503973777 abstract "s of the 78 Annual Meeting of the Florida Academy of Sciences Indian River State College-Fort Pierce, Florida 7-8 March 2014 Copyright © 2014 Florida Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved 10 environs of Florida, including the Gulf of Mexico, were investigated for the period 1960-2012. Annual average SSTs were calculated for each one-degree latitude by one-degree longitude box from the COADS monthly values. Trends were calculated by linear least squares for all 179 COADS boxes using the annual averages; the mean and standard deviation trend of the ensemble of 179 boxes is +0.43 ± 0.84 oC per century. Thirty nine (39) of the 179 boxes had NDBC (NOAA National Data Buoy Center) buoys; the rest did not. Boxes with buoys were compared to juxtaposed boxes without buoys to ascertain if the buoy sampling system led to differences in SST trends. For the 39 boxes with buoys, the mean trend was +0.50 ± 1.16 °C/century; for the 39 juxtaposed boxes without buoys it was +0.58 ± 0.93 °C/century; for the remaining 140 boxes the statistics were +0.41 ± 0.73 oC/century. From a T-test between the mean trend in buoyed boxes and non-buoyed boxes it was determined that there is no statistically significant difference in sea surface temperature trends between boxes with NDBC buoys and juxtaposed boxes without buoys. The coefficient of determination between the 39 pairs of buoyed boxes versus non-buoyed boxes, however, had R2=0.09 revealing that there is little relationship between them. AOS-11 Modeling El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO): Interplay of memory and delayed-action effects. D. QUESADA, School of Science, Technology and Engineering Management, St. Thomas University, 16401 NW 37 Ave. Miami Gardens, FL 33054. ENSO is one of the most important dynamical processes impacting the weather conditions in many parts of the World. It involves a right tuning of the ocean-atmosphere interaction as well as the teleconnection with other global oscillations as the Maddean-Julian Oscillation (MJO), and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). The prediction of ENSO and its periodicities is still a challenge for Global Circulation Models (GCM) as well as Regional Meso-scale Models (RMM). Several alternative approaches based on toy mathematical models have been adopted within the scientific community in order to understand basic mechanisms leading to the appearance of ENSO and its periodicities. In this sense, the Delayed Action Oscillator (DAO) has played a central role. Even though such a model has been capable to describe some general features of ENSO, it is unable to reproduce others. Motivated by these facts, the author has extended the DAO model by incorporating memory effects in addition to a cubic non-linear dissipative and delayed action terms. Such a model is referred as the DAOM, DAO model with memory. Solutions of the later were obtained for different combination of parameters as well as were investigated for sensitivity to constant heating and periodic noise. It is noteworthy that constant heating is a surrogate of global warming, while the periodic noise might account for periodic noisy changes due to solar cycle variability. Comparison with ENSO index history and predictions from NOAA is carried on." @default.
• W1503973777 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W1503973777 creator A5032193197 @default.
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• W1503973777 date "2014-08-18" @default.
• W1503973777 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
• W1503973777 title "Connectivity of Reef Fishes Between Mangroves and Coral Reefs in Broward County, Florida" @default.
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