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- W152211996 abstract "Japan would have an advantage in estimation of foresight of science and technology among the major countries. The prominent project in its scale and quality is the Technology Forecast Survey conducted by Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology. The authors attempt in this paper to examine the result of the fifth survey conducted in 1992 since the target time that the survey forecasted has come or is coming. They think that major subjects on Artificial Intelligence such as natural language understanding, vision, speech recognition, etc. are easy for the participants of the survey to do, causing them to fail in making correct estimations. Thus the authors, who have been engaged in the research on Artificial Intelligence over thirty years, analyzed the applicability of the Delphi method to the field of Artificial Intelligence. There lay a deep chasm between the forecasted time and current technology. This paper tries to describe why the chasm was made." @default.
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- W152211996 date "2006-08-31" @default.
- W152211996 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W152211996 title "An Analysis of Applicability of Delphi Method to Artificial Intelligence" @default.
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