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• W1536690414 abstract "Northeast Asia is at a crossroads in security. The region has demonstrated a general trend of peace and development as the main stream in the situation. Major powers have all been in normal and working relations, striving for more cooperation in addressing security issues that no power or power group can address single-handedly. Although disputes remain in the region, there have been ample political will from all the parties concerned to seek solutions through peaceful consultations and negotiation. In the meantime, the region has also demonstrated great dynamics in the economic development, and a strong tendency for regional economic cooperation to cope with the repercussions of globalization, and to strengthen competitive power vis-a-vis other parts of the world. Northeast Asia is confronted with many security challenges. The military confrontation remains despite the fact that Cold War has ended almost over two decades in the Korean Peninsula. Inter-state disputes owing to historical reasons abound and are very difficult to solve as many involve sovereignty and territorial integrity in Northeast Asia. They could even threaten to escalate to military conflicts if mishandled. Proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and the rise of international terrorism have found their expression in the region. But more fundamentally, mistrust and suspicion among major powers constitute one of the major security problems in the region. In the name of hedging, each of these states is strengthening their military strength, which in turn only invites countermeasures from other states. What adds to the complexity of the situation is that the region is yet to have a security mechanism to promote security cooperation or have effective crisis management once conflicts occur. Domestically, many states are in transformation of their economic structure, which involves many drastic economic, social and political reform measures. Whether they will succeed in the efforts are far from certain. But the result could be significant to the domestic development and regional stability for better or worse. It is against this mixed backdrop that the DPRK nuclear crisis occurred. In fact, the mixed nature of the strategic situation in Northeast Asia becomes both the cause of the issue and the basis for its eventual solution. North Korea has evidently felt great pressure from the outside it is particularly facing a more hostile and aggressive policy of the Bush administration in the post-Cold War era. Nuclear weapons become for Pyongyang the last trump (if it can be called a trump) to ensure its survival. But Pyongyang also shows signs that it could be induced to make a deal with the US for its nuclear assets if only its security concerns are met in return. In the meantime, Washington seems also to come to be aware that military option cannot solve the DPRK nuclear issue under the prevailing Northeast Asian situation. It opts to seek a solution through multilateral diplomacy in the end. Hence the opportunity for a peaceful solution of the nuclear issue arises. China’s contribution has not only lied in creating a multilateral setting for the two involving parties to have direct contact in the form of Six-Party Talks, but also in providing a vision for the essential guidelines for the success of the negotiation in the spirit of mutual respect, mutual benefit, equality and mutual compromise. These principles have become the consensus at the forum, and the strong political basis for the progress of the multilateral efforts. The progress has led to important breakthroughs for the goal of denuclearization despite numerous setbacks and reversals. Success is chiefly due to the concerted efforts of all the parties. But credit should also be given to the US and the DPRK for their pragmatism, flexibility, and willingness of making compromise in the process. On the other hand, the Six-Party Talks still hold many uncertainties. Lack of trust is the major obstacle. Whether North Korea is ready to give up its nuclear weapons is still a big question if its security concerns are not met. On the other hand, the US future policy may have greater impact on the prospect of the denuclearization process. The ball is really in the US court, and the DPRK only responds to a certain extent. Under the circumstances, China wishes to continue to act as an honest mediator to bridge the difference between parties concerned, striving to achieve a win-win result in the process of denuclearization. In this regard, China expects that South Korea will become a reliable strategic partner, wording together for the eventual resolution of the nuclear crisis in the Korean Peninsula." @default.
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• W1536690414 date "2008-09-01" @default.
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• W1536690414 title "DPRK Nuclear Crisis in the Changing Northeast Asian Environment" @default.
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