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- W1537363916 abstract "Can states successfully remove threats and advance their interests by overthrowing and replacing foreign governments? Under what conditions might foreign-imposed regime change (FIRC for short) prove more or less successful? The removal of the Taliban in Afghanistan and Saddam Hussein in Iraq has brought renewed attention to these questions, but the practice of FIRC is hardly a new phenomenon: there have been roughly ninety instances of FIRC since the end of the Napoleonic Wars, and FIRC was a common occurrence during major conflicts of the past, such as the Peloponnesian, Thirty Years, and Napoleonic Wars. Although states have toppled foreign government relatively frequently - and the practice moved to the forefront of U.S. foreign policy during the Bush administration - the effects of this policy instrument are not well understood. This paper argues that the utility of FIRC for interveners depends heavily on two categories of variables: the goals it seeks to achieve and conditions in the target state. First, FIRC is most successful when it is least ambitious, notably when it seeks only to restore a ruler who has been overthrown by a domestic revolution or coup. Interventions that hope to obtain more extensive regime change goals - such as establishing reliable long-term control over strategic territory or democratization of the target - are less likely to succeed. Second, FIRC is more likely to endure and prove successful for interveners when target states are relatively wealthy, institutionally developed, ethnically homogeneous, and have been thoroughly defeated in war. Each of these factors reduces the likelihood of domestic opposition to regime change in the target and increases its capacity for self-governance." @default.
- W1537363916 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W1537363916 date "2009-01-01" @default.
- W1537363916 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W1537363916 title "Catastrophic Success? The Effectiveness of Foreign-Imposed Regime Change" @default.
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