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- W1539583807 abstract "Abstract We will have to wait to see how good our present forecasting methodologies are, but we can test futurologists of earlier times. The author has checked a selection of Fortune's forecasts as far back as 1933. Examination reveals that predictions were on target in three areas-technology, general trends, and structural change in the economy. They fell far short of the mark, however, in the areas of legal, political, and international constraints; the personal impact of economic factors; and the personal impact of various innovations. But the failures were often not too far off and the correct ones, if heeded, could have saved us time and money. Unfortunately, the people problems that plagued the Fortune forecasts are still unsolved today." @default.
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- W1539583807 date "1973-02-01" @default.
- W1539583807 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W1539583807 title "Looking back at looking forward" @default.
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- W1539583807 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/0007-6813(73)90057-8" @default.
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