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- W1541730416 abstract "Why do some states emerging from civil war take significant strides toward democracy while others do not? Why, for example, did Mozambique, Nicaragua, and Peru become more democratic after their civil wars ended, while Angola and Sri Lanka did not? The small existing literature on this subject comes to several contradictory and puzzling findings. This paper examines the determinants of postwar democratization in the short, medium, and long term by testing a number of often competing hypotheses with a dataset of all civil wars ending between 1945 and 1999. Our findings refute some prominent hypotheses. For example, we find that the outcome of the war has no bearing on the prospects for democratization; neither does war resumption affect regime developments, contrary to expectations. On the other hand, we find, as expected, that economic development aids democratization while oil wealth hinders it. We also find less democratization after wars fought over identity issues and in countries with higher prewar levels of democracy. However, we find an unexpected relationship between ethnic fractionalization and democratization. In general, while civil wars appear to provide opportunities for democratization in many places, the factors that determine whether a country becomes more or less democratic are much the same for post-civil war societies as for other societies." @default.
- W1541730416 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W1541730416 date "2009-01-01" @default.
- W1541730416 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W1541730416 title "Democratization after Civil War" @default.
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