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• W1543558006 abstract "The rapid ecological shifts that are occurring due to climate change present major challenges for managers and policymakers and, therefore, are one of the main concerns for environmental modelers and evolutionary biologists. Species distribution models (SDM) are appropriate tools for assessing the relationship between species distribution and environmental conditions, so being customarily used to forecast the biogeographical response of species to climate change. A serious limitation of species distribution models when forecasting the effects of climate change is that they normally assume that species behavior and climatic tolerances will remain constant through time. In this study, we propose a new methodology, based on fuzzy logic, useful for incorporating the potential capacity of species to adapt to new conditions into species distribution models. Our results demonstrate that it is possible to include different behavioral responses of species when predicting the effects of climate change on species distribution. Favorability models offered in this study show two extremes: one considering that the species will not modify its present behavior, and another assuming that the species will take full advantage of the possibilities offered by an increase in environmental favorability. This methodology may mean a more realistic approach to the assessment of the consequences of global change on species' distribution and conservation. Overlooking the potential of species' phenotypical plasticity may under- or overestimate the predicted response of species to changes in environmental drivers and its effects on species distribution. Using this approach, we could reinforce the science behind conservation planning in the current situation of rapid climate change." @default.
• W1543558006 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W1543558006 creator A5000829460 @default.
• W1543558006 creator A5027549680 @default.
• W1543558006 creator A5036720142 @default.
• W1543558006 date "2015-05-25" @default.
• W1543558006 modified "2023-10-06" @default.
• W1543558006 title "An approach to consider behavioral plasticity as a source of uncertainty when forecasting species' response to climate change" @default.
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• W1543558006 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.1519" @default.
• W1543558006 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/4475369" @default.
• W1543558006 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26120426" @default.
• W1543558006 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
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