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• W155204442 abstract "Deviations of national industrial production indexes from trend explain time variation in excess returns on the G7 countries' stock markets. This paper highlights that this finding is driven by a global, common component in the national production gaps. The global component is not a mirror image of the U.S. business cycle. Quite to the contrary, a rest-ofthe-world production gap explains time variation in U.S. stock market excess returns while the U.S.-specific production gap does not. However, both U.S.-specific and global gap components explain time-varying excess returns on U.S. bonds. The relative importance of the U.S.-specific risk gap increases with the maturity of bonds." @default.
• W155204442 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W155204442 creator A5024148421 @default.
• W155204442 date "2012-01-01" @default.
• W155204442 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
• W155204442 title "Global and country-specific business cycle risk in time-varying excess returns on asset markets" @default.
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• W155204442 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
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