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• W1567569105 abstract "textabstractWe investigate the cyclicality of the private savings to GDP ratio for a panel of 19 OECD countries over the period 1971-2009. We find robust evidence that the private savings ratio is countercyclical. Three theories unambiguously predict a higher private savings ratio during recessions: a Ricardian offset effect, the presence of credit constraints, and precautionary savings. We find evidence only for the latter theory. Our estimations take into account a large number of econometric complications: persistence in the savings ratio, endogeneity of the regressors, cross-country parameter heterogeneity, cross-sectional dependence, stationarity issues, omitted variables, and instrument strength." @default.
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• W1567569105 date "2012-01-01" @default.
• W1567569105 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W1567569105 title "Business Cycle Fluctuations and Private Savings in OECD Countries: A Panel Data Analysis" @default.
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• W1567569105 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2190311" @default.
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