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- W1569452813 abstract "This dissertation specifies and tests rationalistmechanisms of war. Why would rational states fight each otherdespite their incentives for peaceful bargains that would avoid thecosts of war? In the rationalist theory of war, private informationand the commitment problem are the key causes of war. I study theeffects of these factors - and the mechanisms regulating theireffects - through randomized experiments, historical analysis ofthe decision processes in three wars, and a comparative study ofall international wars fought in East Asia in the last century.This is the first integrated study of rationalist causes of warthat combines randomized experiments with historical cases. Despitea wide theoretical literature, there are few empirical tests ofrationalist explanations for war. I use experimental and historicalevidence to show that the commitment problem has strong positiveeffects on conflict. The effects of private information are lessclear. Next, I specify six mechanisms that regulate the effects ofthe commitment problem and the private-information problem: threemechanisms (exogenous, endogenous, and inadvertent enforcement) forthe first problem and three mechanisms (signaling with sunk cost,implementation cost, and salient contradiction) for the second. Theexperimental and historical evidence largely converge. Each of thethree enforcement mechanisms calms the commitment problem andreduces the risk of conflict. Evidence for the three signalingmechanisms is mixed. Finally, I use the case universe of East Asianwars to assess the relevance of the mechanisms, suggest theoreticalrefinements, and infer alternative theories of war." @default.
- W1569452813 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W1569452813 date "2013-01-01" @default.
- W1569452813 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W1569452813 title "Rationalist causes of war : mechanisms, experiments, and East Asian wars" @default.
- W1569452813 hasPublicationYear "2013" @default.
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