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- W1569534484 abstract "Indicators based on patents provide a good measure of the innovative performance and technologyoutputs of countries. However, because of legal rules imposed by the patent application process,information on patents is generally publicly disclosed after 18 months. Patent indicators are consequentlyfaced with a timeliness issue, which can extend to more than five years depending on the computationalmethod used to develop indicators.This study aims at designing simple but robust methods that would enable to nowcast patentindicators - forecast the present (or the recent past) - in order to mitigate the timeliness issue. Thenowcasting exercise is conducted here on two separate sets of patent indicators: the number of patentsapplied to the European Patent Office (EPO) and the number of Triadic Patent Families (patents taken atthe EPO, the Japan Patent Office (JPO) and the United States Patent and Trademarks Office (USPTO)).Portion of patent filings at the EPO were made under the Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT). Thenowcasting method developed in the present document is based on estimates of the transfer rate of patentsfiled under PCT into the EPO regional phase, given that information on PCT patents at international phaseis disclosed before reaching the regional/national phase. This method provides robust estimates up to yeart-2 (instead of year t-4), even though patenting activity of small patenting countries or emerging economiesare difficult to predict, in terms of both level and growth..." @default.
- W1569534484 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W1569534484 creator A5031529884 @default.
- W1569534484 date "2007-10-05" @default.
- W1569534484 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
- W1569534484 title "Nowcasting Patent Indicators" @default.
- W1569534484 doi "https://doi.org/10.1787/055888673307" @default.
- W1569534484 hasPublicationYear "2007" @default.
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