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• W157082832 abstract "This paper offers a selective overview of the implications that the exchange rate strategies of the Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs) negotiating EU entry may have for the euro area. Basically, there are two angles from which to approach this issue: First, how do the CEECspreparations for EU accession and participation in Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) affect their exchange rate regimes, and how do these measures impact the euro area countries? Second, how significant is the timing and speed at which the CEECs prepare to introduce the euro? In the following, only the first question will be addressed, starting with an overview of the exchange rate strategies that the individual accession countries employ at present (section 2). Section 3 summarizes the positions the EU and the accession countries have adopted on monetary integration. One objective of monetary integration, reducing exchange rate volatilities between the accession countries and the euro area, is analyzed in section 4. To this effect, theoretical and empirical findings of how volatility affects trade and foreign direct invest- ment (FDI) are discussed in detail. Section 5 highlights various aspects of exchange rate interaction between the euro and the currencies of the accession countries, notably the effects of an equilibrium real appreciation of the acces- sion countriescurrencies, the institutional framework of exchange rate coor- dination following EU enlargement as well as the potential for exchange rate turbulences in the accession countries and their implications for the euro area. This paper will not address questions that arise from the accession countries� future participation in the euro area, including possible implications of the euro areas enlargement for the single monetary policy. Given the small economic weight of the CEECs, it appears to be a plausible proposition that the partic- ipation of todays accession countries in the euro area should have just a marginal effect on the single monetary policy. Similarly, we do not investigate what impact the monetary integration of the accession countries may have on the exchange rate of the euro against other international currencies (U.S. dollar, Japanese yen), for lack of a meaningful theoretical grounding necessary for such an analysis. Again, it may reasonably be assumed that the EU should be able to ward off unwelcome influences on the euro exchange rate with a sensible and transparent design and implementation of the monetary integration process of the accession countries." @default.
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• W157082832 title "Exchange Rate Strategies of the EU Accession Countries on the Road to EMU: Impact on the Euro Area" @default.
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