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- W1571285711 abstract "The rapid urbanisation and urban sprawl in particular in the developing world require a scientific understanding of complex urban growth patterns and processes. This knowledge is highly crucial to sustainable land management and urban development planning. Progress in modern remote sensing and GIS techniques has opened up great opportunities, and significant success has already been achieved in monitoring and managing fast urban growth. However, these techniques are still poor when it comes to supporting decisionmaking on sustainable development, as reasonable theories and methods have not been sufficiently and systematically developed to understand the complexity inherent in urban growth. Understanding the urban growth system is a prerequisite for modelling and forecasting future trends of urban land use/cover change and its ecological impacts. As urban growth involves various actors with different patterns of behaviour, we argue that scientific understanding must be based on elaborated complexity theory and a multidisciplinary framework. The theoretical analysis can provide a guideline for selecting modelling methods currently available in complexity modelling and in remote sensing and GIS environments. This chapter first proposes a conceptual model for defining urban growth and its complexity, in which spatial, temporal and decision-making complexity are distinguished as separate domains. Second, this chapter links the conceptual model with the major current methods of modern urban modelling, such as cellular automata, fractals, neural networks, multi-agent, spatial statistics etc. This confrontation enables the possibilities of various modelling methods to understand urban growth complexity to be indicated. Third, this chapter evaluates the operational implementation of representative methods based on criteria such as interpretability, data need and GIS embeddedness." @default.
- W1571285711 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W1571285711 creator A5053802537 @default.
- W1571285711 date "2003-05-07" @default.
- W1571285711 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W1571285711 title "Modelling spatial and temporal urban growth" @default.
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