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- W1572933566 abstract "This paper investigates inflation persistence under Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) model motivated by the fact that inflation in Nepal goes through different degrees of persistence based on various regime shifts. Using monthly time series of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) from 1998:01 to 2011:12, the presence of dynamic adjustment of inflation between high inflation and low inflation regimes defined by threshold inflation reveals non-linear behavior of inflation. A degree of low persistency is found in the high inflation regime. Low inflation persistence in high inflation regime signifies that inflation do not remain for a long period of time as a result of policy shocks pursued to trigger inflation down. Therefore, the policy shocks (such as monetary and fiscal policies) to bring inflation into low inflation regime cannot be ruled out in Nepal. Further, as the variance of the inflation shocks above the threshold is found greater than below the threshold, the policy shocks as well as shocks emanating from supply constraint and foreign inflation shocks are responsible in switching inflation from above the threshold to below the threshold." @default.
- W1572933566 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W1572933566 date "2012-07-01" @default.
- W1572933566 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W1572933566 title "Inflation Persistence in Nepal: A TAR Representation" @default.
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