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- W1594525553 abstract "Security of oil supply, its accessibility, availability, and affordability are important concepts inndesigning sustainable energy policies for advanced and emerging economies. Oil is the driving forcenfor not only transportation and the military industry, but also the entire modem economy that isndependent on oil as a cheap energy source. The reliable supply of oil is therefore a crucial element ofneconomic growth. However, the resource oil is unevenly concentrated in only a few, on average,nemerging economies. Inefficient and ineffective resource management can jeopardise the secure flownof oil, since these supply countries are prone to geopolitical and commercial instability. The status ofnoil suppliers is derived from an endogenous web of relationships. However, most supply securitynstudies focus mainly on the demand side, and the condition of oil suppliers is assumed to benexogenous. This thesis tries to quantify the security of oil supply from a supply side perspectiventhrough a composite indicator-based index as a preceding indicator of the selection process. Thencomposite index approach enables relative risk levels to be estimated, and allows for individual asnwell as group-based comparisons to give qualitative and quantitative statements of the vulnerability ofnsuppliers to oil shock. The scope of the analysis is limited to a sample of 20 selected oil suppliers fornthe years 2000, 2005, and 2010. Accordingly, with the sample, more than 90% of global oilnproduction is covered to provide robust significance. Furthermore, the focus is set on aggregatenrelative risk comparisons among selected OPEC, Non-OPEC, and Caspian oil suppliers. Through thenindicator identification process, five relevant indicators were identified to account for three out of fournoil supply security dimensions. The subsequent composite index analysis combines the indicatornresults and shows that OPEC is the relatively most risky producer group, followed by the Caspian.nNon-OPEC is found to be the relatively least risky group of producers, on average, throughout thenanalysis. Moreover, it is emphasised that the aggregate results are based on individual developmentsnof the selected oil suppliers, whose endogenous circumstances affect the relative aggregated groupnrisk level. The implications from the analysis are that oil suppliers face not only different degrees ofnrelative risks that vat)' from one petro-economy to another, but they also provide insights into waysnand policies to reduce the relative risk levels of the selected oil suppliers.n" @default.
- W1594525553 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W1594525553 creator A5054450106 @default.
- W1594525553 date "2012-10-01" @default.
- W1594525553 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W1594525553 title "The devil's tears in the tournament of shadows - oil supply, markets and unstable products" @default.
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