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• W1620516061 abstract "An extension of the stochastic susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model is proposed in order to accommodate a regression context for modelling infectious disease surveillance data. The proposal is based on a multivariate counting process specified by conditional intensities, which contain an additive epidemic component and a multiplicative endemic component. This allows the analysis of endemic infectious diseases by quantifying risk factors for infection by external sources in addition to infective contacts. Simulation from the model is straightforward by Ogata's modified thinning algorithm. Inference can be performed by considering the full likelihood of the stochastic process with additional parameter restrictions to ensure non-negative conditional intensities.As an illustration we analyse data provided by the Federal Research Centre for Virus Diseases of Animals, Wusterhausen, Germany, on the incidence of the classical swine fever virus in Germany during 1993-2004." @default.
• W1620516061 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W1620516061 creator A5019740290 @default.
• W1620516061 date "2008-10-02" @default.
• W1620516061 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W1620516061 title "Spatio-temporal epidemic modelling using additive-multiplicative intensity models" @default.
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• W1620516061 doi "https://doi.org/10.5282/ubm/epub.6366" @default.
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