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- W1641107104 abstract "Publisher Summary This chapter describes the various aspects of the extended range forecasting. The variability of the atmospheric circulation on a global scale appears to be subtle and complex, and yet a large portion of it may be predictable for quite a long period of time. One approach to extended range forecasting is simply to integrate the differential equations of a general circulation model (GCM) in time, using a small time step, and to project the solutions to 10 days, 1 month, and 1 season ahead or beyond. There is a considerable contribution from the nonlinear transfer of temperature and vorticity due to the transient eddies to the low-pass variance in the key regions. In general, the global circulation patterns are a consequence of internal atmospheric dynamics and external boundary forcings. The former is represented by teleconnection characteristics and baroclinicity. There is an increasing amount of evidence to indicate that internal dynamics are indeed essential for the simulation of variability on a monthly time scale." @default.
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- W1641107104 date "1985-01-01" @default.
- W1641107104 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W1641107104 title "Extended Range Forecasting" @default.
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- W1641107104 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/s0065-2687(08)60185-5" @default.
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