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- W164743159 abstract "Abstract In our paper we investigate whether party identification choices are predetermined orcontextual . Party identification is predetermined if it is caused by a behavioral process in whichcurrent partisan loyalties are solely a function of influences that occurred previously. In contrast,party identification is contextual if changes are contemporaneously correlated with changes in thepolitical environment. We define the dependent variable as the sum of repeated measures of abinary response (whether or not the same party identification was given across waves of thepanel study) to obtain a measure that includes both persistence and change. We estimate arandom effects logistic, i.e., beta-logistic, model using partisanship data from the 1982-83 panelsurvey of Lexington, KY (Conover and Feldman 1986). We find that the effect of frequency ofusage of newspaper and tv news is to increase the probability of persistence. In contrast, theeffect for a more optimistic outlook for economic evaluations leads to a lower probability of apersistent response to the party identification question. When examining these results in thecontext of Converse (1962), we conclude that there some respondents whose explanation of partyidentification is predetermined and others show evidence of contextual effects. Our results alsohave important implications for measurement error. We find that 24% of the unobserved “error” inour sample is systematic and can be explained as a function of variables associated with theheterogeneous effect of exposure to and acceptance of information; it is not all measurementerror. These findings contribute to the endeavor of establishing a solid micro/macro link." @default.
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- W164743159 date "1999-01-01" @default.
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- W164743159 title "Information, Heterogeneity, and Individual Party Identification" @default.
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