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- W1824477788 abstract "In RBC models, disaster risk shocks reproduce countercyclical risk premia but generate an increase in consumption along the recession and asset price fall, through their effects on agents’ preferences (Gourio, 2012). This paper offers a solution to this puzzle by developing a New Keynesian model with such a small but time-varying probability of “disaster”. We show that price stickiness, combined with an EIS smaller than unity, restores procyclical consumption and wages, while preserving countercyclical risk premia, in response to disaster risk shocks. The mechanism then provides a rationale for discount factor first- and second-moment (“uncertainty”) shocks." @default.
- W1824477788 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W1824477788 date "2017-06-01" @default.
- W1824477788 modified "2023-10-06" @default.
- W1824477788 title "Disaster risk and preference shifts in a New Keynesian model" @default.
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- W1824477788 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2017.04.001" @default.
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