Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W1837121132> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 86 of
86
with 100 items per page.
- W1837121132 abstract "${bf Background:}$ The early growth dynamics of the West African Ebola virus epidemic has been qualitatively different for Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia. However, it is important to understand these disparate dynamics as trends of a single epidemic spread over regions with similar geographic and cultural aspects, with likely common parameters for transmission rates and the reproduction number $R_0$. ${bf Methods:}$ We combine a discrete, stochastic SEIR model with a two-scale community network model to demonstrate that the different regional trends may be explained by different community mixing rates. Heuristically, the effect of different community mixing rates may be understood as the observation that two individuals infected by the same chain of transmission are more likely to know one another in a less-mixed community. Saturation effects occur as the contacts of an infected individual are more likely to already be exposed by the same chain of transmission. ${bf Results:}$ The effects of community mixing, together with the effects of stochasticity, can explain the qualitative difference in the growth of Ebola virus cases in each country, and why the probability of large outbreaks may have recently increased. An increase in the rate of Ebola cases in Guinea in late August, and a local fitting of the transient dynamics of the Ebola cases in Liberia, suggests that the epidemic in Liberia has been more severe, and the epidemic in Guinea is worsening, due to discrete seeding events as the epidemic spreads into new communities. ${bf Conclusions:}$ A relatively simple network model provides insight on the role of local effects such as saturation that would be difficult to otherwise quantify. Our results predict that exponential growth of an epidemic is driven by the exposure of new communities, underscoring the importance of control measures that limit this spread." @default.
- W1837121132 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W1837121132 creator A5005187372 @default.
- W1837121132 date "2014-10-20" @default.
- W1837121132 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W1837121132 title "Description of the Early Growth Dynamics of 2014 West Africa Ebola Epidemic" @default.
- W1837121132 cites W114870970 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W1970190174 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W1978700210 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W1999223777 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W1999455027 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W2036812059 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W2077281606 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W2142470971 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W2161335593 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W2162554556 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W2169958312 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W2331548351 @default.
- W1837121132 cites W3103645382 @default.
- W1837121132 hasPublicationYear "2014" @default.
- W1837121132 type Work @default.
- W1837121132 sameAs 1837121132 @default.
- W1837121132 citedByCount "2" @default.
- W1837121132 countsByYear W18371211322014 @default.
- W1837121132 countsByYear W18371211322019 @default.
- W1837121132 crossrefType "posted-content" @default.
- W1837121132 hasAuthorship W1837121132A5005187372 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C116675565 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C144024400 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C149923435 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C159047783 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C1627819 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C204264503 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C2777469322 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C2908647359 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C3018567284 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C45355965 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C761482 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C76155785 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C116675565 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C144024400 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C149923435 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C159047783 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C162324750 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C1627819 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C204264503 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C205649164 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C2777469322 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C2908647359 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C3018567284 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C41008148 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C45355965 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C761482 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C76155785 @default.
- W1837121132 hasConceptScore W1837121132C86803240 @default.
- W1837121132 hasLocation W18371211321 @default.
- W1837121132 hasOpenAccess W1837121132 @default.
- W1837121132 hasPrimaryLocation W18371211321 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W1552830692 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2002822413 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2040625593 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2143411500 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2183854067 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2331081054 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2476520130 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2495491024 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2498588875 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2896947574 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2949320191 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2964331919 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W2966457956 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W3005773168 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W3042953920 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W3092082522 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W3100118967 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W3113028207 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W3123695449 @default.
- W1837121132 hasRelatedWork W3169710999 @default.
- W1837121132 isParatext "false" @default.
- W1837121132 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W1837121132 magId "1837121132" @default.
- W1837121132 workType "article" @default.