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- W18451657 abstract "This article reviews the current understanding of tropical cyclone predictability. General concepts regarding atmospheric predictability are first presented, and are then related to tropical cyclones. A central theme is that error growth associated with moist convection limits the intrinsic predictability of tropical cyclone intensity, which is similar to what limits predictability in the midlatitudes. Meanwhile, practical predictability is limited by convective amplification of errors in specifying the initial cyclone vortex, the background state, particularly near gradients, and in the aerosol concentration. Predictability is case dependent and appears to be lower in environments with higher convective instability and wind shear." @default.
- W18451657 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W18451657 date "2015-01-01" @default.
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- W18451657 title "TROPICAL CYCLONES AND HURRICANES | Hurricane Predictability" @default.
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- W18451657 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/b978-0-12-382225-3.00497-7" @default.
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