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• W1878132393 startingPage "n/a" @default.
• W1878132393 abstract "[1] The phase scintillation index was obtained from L1 GPS data collected with the Canadian High Arctic Ionospheric Network (CHAIN) during years of extended solar minimum 2008–2010. Phase scintillation occurs predominantly on the dayside in the cusp and in the nightside auroral oval. We set forth a probabilistic forecast method of phase scintillation in the cusp based on the arrival time of either solar wind corotating interaction regions (CIRs) or interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs). CIRs on the leading edge of high-speed streams (HSS) from coronal holes are known to cause recurrent geomagnetic and ionospheric disturbances that can be forecast one or several solar rotations in advance. Superposed epoch analysis of phase scintillation occurrence showed a sharp increase in scintillation occurrence just after the arrival of high-speed solar wind and a peak associated with weak to moderate CMEs during the solar minimum. Cumulative probability distribution functions for the phase scintillation occurrence in the cusp are obtained from statistical data for days before and after CIR and ICME arrivals. The probability curves are also specified for low and high (below and above median) values of various solar wind plasma parameters. The initial results are used to demonstrate a forecasting technique on two example periods of CIRs and ICMEs." @default.
• W1878132393 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W1878132393 creator A5005029118 @default.
• W1878132393 creator A5020231098 @default.
• W1878132393 creator A5057118067 @default.
• W1878132393 creator A5079138306 @default.
• W1878132393 date "2012-08-01" @default.
• W1878132393 modified "2023-10-05" @default.
• W1878132393 title "Toward the probabilistic forecasting of high-latitude GPS phase scintillation" @default.
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• W1878132393 doi "https://doi.org/10.1029/2012sw000800" @default.
• W1878132393 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
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