Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W1900524557> ?p ?o ?g. }
- W1900524557 endingPage "n/a" @default.
- W1900524557 startingPage "n/a" @default.
- W1900524557 abstract "[1] The climatology of mean bias errors (relative to 1-day forecasts) was examined in a 20-year hindcast set from version 1 of the Climate Forecast System (CFS), for forecast lead times of 2, 4, 8, 16, … 256 days, verifying in different seasons. Results mostly confirm the simple expectation that atmospheric model biases should be evident at short lead (2-4 days), while soil moisture errors develop over days-weeks and ocean errors emerge over months. A further simplification is also evident: surface temperature bias patterns have nearly fixed geographical structure, growing with different time scales over land and ocean. The geographical pattern has mostly warm and dry biases over land and cool bias over the oceans, with two main exceptions: (1) deficient stratocumulus clouds cause warm biases in eastern subtropical oceans, and (2) high latitude land is too cold in boreal winter. Further study of the east Pacific cold tongue-Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) complex shows a possible interaction between a rapidly-expressed atmospheric model bias (poleward shift of deep convection beginning at day 2) and slow ocean dynamics (erroneously cold upwelling along the equator in leads > 1 month). Further study of the high latitude land cold bias shows that it is a thermal wind balance aspect of the deep polar vortex, not just a near-surface temperature error under the wintertime inversion, suggesting that its development time scale of weeks to months may involve long timescale processes in the atmosphere, not necessarily in the land model. Winter zonal wind errors are small in magnitude, but a refractive index map shows that this can cause modest errors in Rossby wave ducting. Finally, as a counterpoint to our initial expectations about error growth, a case of non-monotonic error growth is shown: velocity potential bias grows with lead on a time scale of weeks, then decays over months. It is hypothesized that compensations between land and ocean errors may cause this behavior." @default.
- W1900524557 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W1900524557 creator A5018626805 @default.
- W1900524557 creator A5075943167 @default.
- W1900524557 date "2012-03-01" @default.
- W1900524557 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W1900524557 title "Interpretations of systematic errors in the NCEP Climate Forecast System at lead times of 2, 4, 8, ..., 256 days" @default.
- W1900524557 cites W1967372196 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W1985114715 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W1992561914 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2010094196 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2012883549 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2020297738 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2043949085 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2045228907 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2045984600 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2055755179 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2059072711 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2065605934 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2067693064 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2077527371 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2082001988 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2082628835 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2085309593 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2099424815 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2109313691 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2120115499 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2125149771 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2128550260 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2131477567 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2132338457 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2156380764 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2156894412 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2161759945 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2168803595 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2173034793 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2173131804 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2174092033 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2179591504 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W2180531213 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W4250922349 @default.
- W1900524557 cites W83777773 @default.
- W1900524557 doi "https://doi.org/10.1029/2011ms000094" @default.
- W1900524557 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
- W1900524557 type Work @default.
- W1900524557 sameAs 1900524557 @default.
- W1900524557 citedByCount "5" @default.
- W1900524557 countsByYear W19005245572014 @default.
- W1900524557 countsByYear W19005245572016 @default.
- W1900524557 countsByYear W19005245572019 @default.
- W1900524557 countsByYear W19005245572020 @default.
- W1900524557 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W1900524557 hasAuthorship W1900524557A5018626805 @default.
- W1900524557 hasAuthorship W1900524557A5075943167 @default.
- W1900524557 hasBestOaLocation W19005245571 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C100537666 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C107054158 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C111368507 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C114793014 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C122523270 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C123576220 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C127889277 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C12980444 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C13280743 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C134097258 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C149348798 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C151730666 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C153294291 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C168754636 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C24552861 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C2777093003 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C507956050 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C72319357 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C83002819 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConcept C91586092 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C100537666 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C107054158 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C111368507 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C114793014 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C122523270 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C123576220 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C127313418 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C127889277 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C12980444 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C132651083 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C13280743 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C134097258 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C149348798 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C151730666 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C153294291 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C168754636 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C205649164 @default.
- W1900524557 hasConceptScore W1900524557C24552861 @default.