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- W1900844352 abstract "Planning for the future by applying trend lines to historical traffic counts is a risky proposition in smaller communities experiencing growth and congestion. However, regional travel demand models are rarely available or cost effective to implement outside of larger cities. To fill this gap, DKS Associates has created a new forecasting application for small communities along major corridors that can dynamically evaluate state highway performance and be responsive to local circulation conditions. This tool is effective at forecasting and evaluating corridor improvement strategies such as couplets or alternate routes for regional facilities, and it is sensitive enough to measures impacts on all local streets and intersections within the community. This paper describes the results of creating and applying this travel forecast tool for the small town of Sisters, OR, where seasonal recreation traffic, truck volumes, and a limited street grid create a major system bottleneck. The travel forecast tool development consisted of detailed land use forecasting, consideration of O-D patterns, and trip table estimation utilizing a simple gravity model approach. The resulting trip table was then assigned to a detailed roadway network that was created in VISUM using NAVTEQ network inputs and HCM-operations based node delays that can react to specific changes in circulation and traffic control. The forecast results were exported to Synchro for detailed analysis and simulation, which provided both a technical tool for addressing mobility and circulation throughout the system as well as a communication tool to help inform local decision makers." @default.
- W1900844352 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W1900844352 date "2009-01-01" @default.
- W1900844352 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W1900844352 title "Creating an Operations-Based Travel Forecast Tool for Small Oregon Communities" @default.
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