Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W1926186885> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 86 of
86
with 100 items per page.
- W1926186885 endingPage "626" @default.
- W1926186885 startingPage "615" @default.
- W1926186885 abstract "Abstract This paper proposes a procedure based on random walks for testing and visualizing differences in forecast skill. The test is formally equivalent to the sign test and has numerous attractive statistical properties, including being independent of distributional assumptions about the forecast errors and being applicable to a wide class of measures of forecast quality. While the test is best suited for independent outcomes, it provides useful information even when serial correlation exists. The procedure is applied to deterministic ENSO forecasts from the North American Multimodel Ensemble and yields several revealing results, including 1) the Canadian models are the most skillful dynamical models, even when compared to the multimodel mean; 2) a regression model is significantly more skillful than all but one dynamical model (to which it is equally skillful); and 3) in some cases, there are significant differences in skill between ensemble members from the same model, potentially reflecting differences in initialization. The method requires only a few years of data to detect significant differences in the skill of models with known errors/biases, suggesting that the procedure may be useful for model development and monitoring of real-time forecasts." @default.
- W1926186885 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W1926186885 creator A5026827452 @default.
- W1926186885 creator A5045680211 @default.
- W1926186885 date "2016-02-01" @default.
- W1926186885 modified "2023-10-17" @default.
- W1926186885 title "Forecast Comparison Based on Random Walks" @default.
- W1926186885 cites W1964111098 @default.
- W1926186885 cites W1985114715 @default.
- W1926186885 cites W2060172488 @default.
- W1926186885 cites W2084279619 @default.
- W1926186885 cites W2093530494 @default.
- W1926186885 cites W2145492761 @default.
- W1926186885 doi "https://doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-15-0218.1" @default.
- W1926186885 hasPublicationYear "2016" @default.
- W1926186885 type Work @default.
- W1926186885 sameAs 1926186885 @default.
- W1926186885 citedByCount "35" @default.
- W1926186885 countsByYear W19261868852017 @default.
- W1926186885 countsByYear W19261868852018 @default.
- W1926186885 countsByYear W19261868852019 @default.
- W1926186885 countsByYear W19261868852020 @default.
- W1926186885 countsByYear W19261868852021 @default.
- W1926186885 countsByYear W19261868852022 @default.
- W1926186885 countsByYear W19261868852023 @default.
- W1926186885 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W1926186885 hasAuthorship W1926186885A5026827452 @default.
- W1926186885 hasAuthorship W1926186885A5045680211 @default.
- W1926186885 hasBestOaLocation W19261868851 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C111472728 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C114466953 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C119857082 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C119898033 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C121194460 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C121955636 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C134306372 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C138885662 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C139676723 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C144133560 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C170061395 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C196083921 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C199360897 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C2779530757 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C105795698 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C111472728 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C114466953 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C119857082 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C119898033 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C121194460 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C121955636 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C134306372 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C138885662 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C139676723 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C144133560 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C149782125 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C170061395 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C196083921 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C199360897 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C2779530757 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C33923547 @default.
- W1926186885 hasConceptScore W1926186885C41008148 @default.
- W1926186885 hasIssue "2" @default.
- W1926186885 hasLocation W19261868851 @default.
- W1926186885 hasOpenAccess W1926186885 @default.
- W1926186885 hasPrimaryLocation W19261868851 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W1881682031 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W2032793423 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W2101317557 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W2171859864 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W2345387633 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W2349012012 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W3004007419 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W3016009155 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W3140246869 @default.
- W1926186885 hasRelatedWork W4366305752 @default.
- W1926186885 hasVolume "144" @default.
- W1926186885 isParatext "false" @default.
- W1926186885 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W1926186885 magId "1926186885" @default.
- W1926186885 workType "article" @default.