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- W1954305976 abstract "It is essential to consider the acceptable threshold in the assessment of a hydrological model because of the scarcity of research in the hydrology community and errors do not necessarily cause risk. Two forecast errors, including rainfall forecast error and peak flood forecast error, have been studied based on the reliability theory. The first order second moment (FOSM) and bound methods are used to identify the reliability. Through the case study of the Dahuofang (DHF) Reservoir, it is shown that the correlation between these two errors has great influence on the reliability index of hydrological model. In particular, the reliability index of the DHF hydrological model decreases with the increasing correlation. Based on the reliability theory, the proposed performance evaluation framework incorporating the acceptable forecast error threshold and correlation among the multiple errors can be used to evaluate the performance of a hydrological model and to quantify the uncertainties of a hydrological model output." @default.
- W1954305976 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W1954305976 creator A5037276235 @default.
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- W1954305976 date "2015-11-04" @default.
- W1954305976 modified "2023-10-18" @default.
- W1954305976 title "Performance Assessment of Hydrological Models Considering Acceptable Forecast Error Threshold" @default.
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- W1954305976 doi "https://doi.org/10.3390/w7116173" @default.
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