Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W1966175964> ?p ?o ?g. }
- W1966175964 abstract "[1] A quantitative definition of and ability to predict the onset and duration of the dominant rainfall season in a region are important for agricultural and natural resources management. In this paper, a methodology based on an analysis of daily rainfall occurrence is proposed and applied to define the onset and end of the rainfall season in northeast Brazil. Multiple rainfall gauges are considered simultaneously, and a hierarchical Bayesian framework is used for parameter estimation. The proposed model can be used to identify the rainy season onset by finding the first day of year in which the estimated probability of rainfall is greater than a specified number, e.g., 0.5. The determination of the end of the rainy season follows a similar procedure. Thus, the rainfall season can be defined as a period during which rainfall is most likely to occur. Monotonic trends are identified for the maximum probability of daily rainfall across the region, suggesting evidence of climate change. However, only the southern stations in the region exhibit a trend in the corresponding date. An examination of the correlations of dates of maximum rainfall probability with leading climate indicators leads to a promising direction for 1–3 month ahead forecasts of onset, which will be very useful for effective planning. Particularly, El Niño events in December are found to be associated with delays in the oncoming rainy season onset over a large part of southern northeast Brazil. Negative anomalies in the tropical South Atlantic sea surface temperature between January and March can anticipate the rainy season onset in the northern region and along the eastern coast of northeast Brazil." @default.
- W1966175964 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W1966175964 creator A5044194526 @default.
- W1966175964 creator A5086757238 @default.
- W1966175964 date "2009-07-01" @default.
- W1966175964 modified "2023-10-01" @default.
- W1966175964 title "Hierarchical Bayesian modeling of multisite daily rainfall occurrence: Rainy season onset, peak, and end" @default.
- W1966175964 cites W105175822 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1480376833 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1511876915 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1528068698 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1573124210 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1968036370 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1983343212 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1984411437 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1987834937 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1991338814 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1993196883 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W1997179309 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2003624368 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2004944370 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2007873570 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2012475083 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2019986155 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2020070038 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2035891155 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2039393541 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2039796646 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2040906980 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2045680847 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2062914653 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2069993596 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2079151265 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2079503941 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2081097085 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2081882582 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2083587415 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2095598321 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2121032760 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2125560760 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2130780531 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2148069630 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2156298772 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2171370514 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2173163148 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2173864972 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2174432617 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2175192829 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2175281197 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2175386348 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2178903214 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2179472678 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W2180701443 @default.
- W1966175964 cites W4250721438 @default.
- W1966175964 doi "https://doi.org/10.1029/2008wr007485" @default.
- W1966175964 hasPublicationYear "2009" @default.
- W1966175964 type Work @default.
- W1966175964 sameAs 1966175964 @default.
- W1966175964 citedByCount "41" @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642012 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642013 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642014 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642015 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642016 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642017 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642018 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642019 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642020 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642021 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642022 @default.
- W1966175964 countsByYear W19661759642023 @default.
- W1966175964 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W1966175964 hasAuthorship W1966175964A5044194526 @default.
- W1966175964 hasAuthorship W1966175964A5086757238 @default.
- W1966175964 hasBestOaLocation W19661759641 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C100970517 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C107673813 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C18903297 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C52322663 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C58640448 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C100970517 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C105795698 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C107673813 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C127313418 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C132651083 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C18903297 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C205649164 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C33923547 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C39432304 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C49204034 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C52322663 @default.
- W1966175964 hasConceptScore W1966175964C58640448 @default.