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- W1974918365 abstract "IT has often been said that the concept of determinism can best be explained by agreeing to call an event determined if it is predictable in principle. The notion of predictability has been used in this way to elucidate the supposedly vaguer notion of determinism by philosophers of such diverse views as Karl Pearson, Eddington, Planck, Schlick, and Popper. Schlick, for example, explains the notion as follows. To say that A determines B means no more than 'given A, B can be computed'. More explicitly, 'there is a general formula that yields a description of B as soon as certain values from the initial conditions A are inserted in the formula and certain variables in the formula, for example, the time t, are given a definite value '.' If such views are right, it is reasonable to try to explain the meaning of' determinism' by explaining the phrase ' predictable in principle '. Even if they are wrong, as I think they are, it is still a useful starting point. What do we mean when we say that events of a certain type are predictable ? The standard examples of such events are those which fall within the scope of a well-developed science like physics or astronomy. It is common knowledge that the range of events which can in practice be predicted is very limited. Nevertheless, it has sometimes been suggested that these limitations can be removed by increasing our knowledge of the laws of nature or by improving the techniques of observation and measurement by which we collect our data or by perfecting our methods of calculation. It is supposed, in other words, that these limits are mere defacto practical restrictions on our present knowledge and are not restrictions 'in principle '. If we ask what is involved in this claim and, in particular, what is the meaning of the phrase 'in principle ', it is very difficult to get a clear answer. I shall therefore start with the much easier question : What conditions must be satisfied before we should accept a claim that a certain event had in fact been predicted ? It is simple enough to list" @default.
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- W1974918365 date "1957-02-01" @default.
- W1974918365 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
- W1974918365 title "DETERMINISM AND PREDICTABILITY" @default.
- W1974918365 doi "https://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/vii.28.310" @default.
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