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- W1978414827 abstract "Abstract Modeling storm occurrences has become a vital part of hurricane prediction. In this paper, a method for simulating event occurrences using a simulated annealing algorithm is described. The method is illustrated using annual counts of hurricanes and of tropical storms in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico. Simulations closely match distributional properties, including possible correlations, in the historical data. For hurricanes, traditionally used Poisson and negative binomial processes also predict univariate properties well, but for tropical storms parametric methods are less successful. The authors determined that simulated annealing replicates properties of both series. Simulated annealing can be designed so that simulations mimic historical distributional properties to whatever degree is desired, including occurrence of extreme events and temporal patterning." @default.
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- W1978414827 date "2005-11-01" @default.
- W1978414827 modified "2023-09-29" @default.
- W1978414827 title "Simulation of Storm Occurrences Using Simulated Annealing" @default.
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- W1978414827 doi "https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli3546.1" @default.
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