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- W1989434432 abstract "This article presents discussion on two issues: the distribution of early cases of acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS), and the epidemiological conditions for the establishment of new diseases. Evidence from four presentations on early AIDS cases is discussed, together with issues of interpreting association and inferring causation. In the second section, the results of a stochastic epidemiological model using the 'real' geography of villages in northern Zaire is presented. This is used to investigate the conditions under which newly introduced infections with different characteristics are able to establish in human populations. It highlights additional spatial, temporal and behavioural conditions necessary for the persistence of introduced diseases, in addition to the condition that the basic reproductive rate R(0) > 1." @default.
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- W1989434432 date "2001-06-29" @default.
- W1989434432 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W1989434432 title "The distribution of early acquired immune deficiency syndrome cases and conditions for the establishment of new epidemics" @default.
- W1989434432 cites W1982220379 @default.
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- W1989434432 doi "https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2001.0877" @default.
- W1989434432 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/1088487" @default.
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