Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2000351799> ?p ?o ?g. }
- W2000351799 endingPage "472" @default.
- W2000351799 startingPage "468" @default.
- W2000351799 abstract "The Infectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Japan, has developed a fully automatic system for daily reporting of ILI (influenza-like illness) patients prescribed Oseltamivir and Zanamivir. The system collected data on the number of prescriptions from approximately 3350 pharmacies, which account for almost 7% of all pharmacies in Japan, and published the number online on a daily basis, except for Sundays. On the basis of these data, we further estimated Rv and predicted its course every Monday using a very simple SIR model with data from previous studies. This paper summarizes our real-time estimation and prediction of ILI patients in the 2009 influenza A/H1N1 pandemic. The estimate on November 29 resulted in an Rv of 1.72 (95%CI [1.69, 1.75]). The model predicted that the peak of the epidemic would be reached on December 23 2009 [December 14, 2009, January 2, 2010] with an estimated number of ILI patients of 227,000 [193,000, 262,000]. The cumulative number of ILI patients over the period would be as high as 17.8% [16.6, 19.0%] of the total population of Japan. This information was circulated weekly among central and local government officers in charge of pandemic control to provide updates on the pandemic situation and to aid their decision-making on control strategies. In conclusion, for the first time in the world, we successfully demonstrated real-time estimation and prediction for the entire course of a pandemic, and which could be used routinely for planning counter-measures." @default.
- W2000351799 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2000351799 creator A5038593658 @default.
- W2000351799 creator A5039630233 @default.
- W2000351799 creator A5062710592 @default.
- W2000351799 creator A5078927895 @default.
- W2000351799 date "2011-01-01" @default.
- W2000351799 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
- W2000351799 title "Real-time estimation and prediction for pandemic A/H1N1(2009) in Japan" @default.
- W2000351799 cites W142598047 @default.
- W2000351799 cites W1519050825 @default.
- W2000351799 cites W2021655241 @default.
- W2000351799 cites W2065069831 @default.
- W2000351799 cites W2135405434 @default.
- W2000351799 cites W2142240784 @default.
- W2000351799 cites W2156537900 @default.
- W2000351799 cites W2157725602 @default.
- W2000351799 cites W2162707016 @default.
- W2000351799 cites W2166313677 @default.
- W2000351799 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/s10156-010-0200-3" @default.
- W2000351799 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21387184" @default.
- W2000351799 hasPublicationYear "2011" @default.
- W2000351799 type Work @default.
- W2000351799 sameAs 2000351799 @default.
- W2000351799 citedByCount "34" @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992013 @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992014 @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992015 @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992016 @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992017 @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992018 @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992019 @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992020 @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992021 @default.
- W2000351799 countsByYear W20003517992022 @default.
- W2000351799 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2000351799 hasAuthorship W2000351799A5038593658 @default.
- W2000351799 hasAuthorship W2000351799A5039630233 @default.
- W2000351799 hasAuthorship W2000351799A5062710592 @default.
- W2000351799 hasAuthorship W2000351799A5078927895 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C104863432 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C126322002 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C144024400 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C149923435 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C187736073 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C194828623 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C2426938 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C2779134260 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C2780374985 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C2781442963 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C2908647359 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C2987315675 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C3008058167 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C512399662 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C524204448 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C545542383 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C71924100 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C89623803 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C96250715 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C98274493 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConcept C99454951 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C104863432 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C105795698 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C126322002 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C144024400 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C149923435 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C162324750 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C187736073 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C194828623 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C2426938 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C2779134260 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C2780374985 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C2781442963 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C2908647359 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C2987315675 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C3008058167 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C33923547 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C512399662 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C524204448 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C545542383 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C71924100 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C89623803 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C96250715 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C98274493 @default.
- W2000351799 hasConceptScore W2000351799C99454951 @default.
- W2000351799 hasIssue "4" @default.
- W2000351799 hasLocation W20003517991 @default.
- W2000351799 hasLocation W20003517992 @default.
- W2000351799 hasOpenAccess W2000351799 @default.
- W2000351799 hasPrimaryLocation W20003517991 @default.
- W2000351799 hasRelatedWork W1819521883 @default.
- W2000351799 hasRelatedWork W2045993180 @default.
- W2000351799 hasRelatedWork W2063817128 @default.
- W2000351799 hasRelatedWork W2149223126 @default.
- W2000351799 hasRelatedWork W2412855576 @default.