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- W2000811008 abstract "Patients with node-positive head-and-neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNC) have a significant risk of residual disease (RD) in the neck after treatment, despite optimal chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Adjuvant neck dissection (ND) after CRT has been considered standard treatment, but its morbidity has led investigators to consider using post-CRT, CT, and positron emission tomography (PET-CT) to determine the need for surgery. We investigated the cost-effectiveness of these modalities as predictors of the need for ND compared with ND for all patients. We developed a Markov model to describe health states in the 5 years after CRT for HNC in a 50-year-old man. We compared three strategies: dissect all patients (DA), dissect patients with RD on CT, and dissect patients with RD on PET-CT. Recurrence risks, costs, and utilities were adapted from the literature. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to model uncertainty in PET-CT performance, patient utilities for up-front and salvage dissection health states, and upfront and salvage dissection costs. The model predicted 5-year disease-free and locoregional recurrence-free survival rates of 49% and 69%, consistent with results from RTOG 99-14 (48.5% and 64% at 4 years). Neck dissection only for patients with RD on PET-CT was the dominant strategy over a wide range of realistic and exaggerated disease, utility, and cost assumptions. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses confirmed that the PET-CT strategy was almost certainly cost-effective at a societal willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $500,000/quality-adjusted life year. For example, despite varying the PET-CT sensitivity and specificity from 88–98% and 76–86%, respectively, PET-CT was always cost-effective at this WTP threshold. Even when the utilities for the dissection and no dissection health states were equal and the salvage dissection health state was varied to as low as 0.6, PET-CT was always cost-effective. The costs of salvage and immediate dissections were increased to $30,000 and lowered to $3,000, respectively, but the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of the PET-CT strategy was less than the societal WTP in over 95% of all trials. Adjuvant neck dissection reserved for patients with residual disease on PET-CT is clearly cost-effective and, in fact, the dominant clinical pathway. The avoidance of routine dissection by this approach dramatically reduced total costs while improving the quality-of-life in the majority of patients, which are benefits not overcome by the small increase in recurrence." @default.
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- W2000811008 date "2009-11-01" @default.
- W2000811008 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W2000811008 title "Cost-effectiveness of CT and PET-CT for Determining the Need for Adjuvant Neck Dissection in Locally Advanced Head and Neck Cancer" @default.
- W2000811008 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijrobp.2009.07.219" @default.
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