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- W2002215105 endingPage "044016" @default.
- W2002215105 startingPage "044016" @default.
- W2002215105 abstract "Uncertainties in terrestrial carbon (C) cycle projections increase uncertainty of potential climate feedbacks. Efforts to improve model performance often include increased representation of biogeochemical processes, such as coupled carbon–nitrogen (N) cycles. In doing so, models are becoming more complex, generating structural uncertainties in model form that reflect incomplete knowledge of how to represent underlying processes. Here, we explore structural uncertainties associated with biological nitrogen fixation (BNF) and quantify their effects on C cycle projections. We find that alternative plausible structures to represent BNF result in nearly equivalent terrestrial C fluxes and pools through the twentieth century, but the strength of the terrestrial C sink varies by nearly a third (50 Pg C) by the end of the twenty-first century under a business-as-usual climate change scenario representative concentration pathway 8.5. These results indicate that actual uncertainty in future C cycle projections may be larger than previously estimated, and this uncertainty will limit C cycle projections until model structures can be evaluated and refined." @default.
- W2002215105 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2002215105 creator A5019840788 @default.
- W2002215105 creator A5031739136 @default.
- W2002215105 creator A5058371561 @default.
- W2002215105 creator A5067776084 @default.
- W2002215105 date "2015-04-01" @default.
- W2002215105 modified "2023-10-12" @default.
- W2002215105 title "Effects of model structural uncertainty on carbon cycle projections: biological nitrogen fixation as a case study" @default.
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- W2002215105 doi "https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044016" @default.
- W2002215105 hasPublicationYear "2015" @default.
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