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- W2002472912 abstract "(1)Does the mean January 1983 500-mb height field differ significantly from the January fields observed in non-El Niño Januaries?yes: — Intense depression north of the anomaly;- mid-latitudinal high at Greenwich; and- intensified pattern with an irregularly distributed series of three maxima and minima.(2)Does the ECMWF T21L15 GCM respond to an El Niño SST anomaly (similar to the winter 1982/83 SST anomaly) significantly?yes: - Intense depression north of the anomaly; and- three stably located mid-latitudinal highs at 90° W, 10°W and 70° E.(3)Are the 1983 observed and the GCM generated response patterns coherent? yes: - The two patterns are significantly correlated; and- most of the synoptic scale details of the patterns coincide with respect to location and sign.(4)Is it possible to simulate the response with sufficient accuracy by linearized models?no: - GCM experiments with negative anomalies point to a nonlinear relation “SST anomaly-circulation anomaly”;- linear experiments show that the relation “tropospheric heating anomaly-circulation anomaly” is nonlinear; and- the link “SST anomaly-heating anomaly” is nonlinear, because the release of latent heat by condensation of moisture anomalies generated by evaporation at the sea surface depends essentially nonlinear on the large-scale flow.(5)Conclusion: El Niño-type SST anomalies up to +4K generate a unique response pattern in the 500-mb north-hemispheric mid-latitudinal height field. Cold anomalies (“La Niña”) yield a varying and less significant mid-latitudinal response." @default.
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- W2002472912 title "Linear statistical models" @default.
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