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- W2003372854 abstract "A model is developed in which current account imbalances can be ‘financed’ through transfers of bonds denominated in either currency. The reduced form links the current spot rate to the expected future spot rate via a risk premium, which depends on the global currency mix of outside assets that governments impose on private portfolios through budget deficits and interventions and on the global distribution of private wealth among regions with different portfolio preferences. An iterative procedure generates rational expectations forecasts of the dollar-mark rate which perform somewhat better than forward rates in predicting monthly changes in the spot rate." @default.
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- W2003372854 date "1982-05-01" @default.
- W2003372854 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2003372854 title "A portfolio-balance rational-expectations model of the dollar-mark exchange rate" @default.
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- W2003372854 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1996(82)90039-3" @default.
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