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- W2007755055 abstract "[1] A statistical interpolation method is evaluated for routine production of ozone three-dimensional fields over western Europe. These fields are used for initializing short-term ozone forecasts issued from a chemistry-transport model. We mainly address two questions: (1) To what extent can the use of surface ozone observation data improve the description of ozone fields relative to raw simulations? (2) Does the use of ozone analysis improve short-term forecasts of the troposphere's chemical composition? The method consists of combining ozone simulations with surface ozone measurements. The resulting analyses are compared with independent observations in a statistical way over a long period of time (four consecutive summers). The improvement of the root-mean-square (RMS) error of the analyses relative to the raw simulations is ∼30%. The short-term (1–2 days in advance) ozone forecasts are improved on average (by ∼1 ppb of RMS error) if ozone analyses are used for initialization. The improvement is almost lost after a lead time of 36 hours. However, in cases where a model error propagates throughout the model domain, the improvement can be much larger (∼10 ppb). We analyze one such case." @default.
- W2007755055 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2007755055 date "2004-01-01" @default.
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- W2007755055 title "Three-dimensional ozone analyses and their use for short-term ozone forecasts" @default.
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- W2007755055 doi "https://doi.org/10.1029/2004jd004515" @default.
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