Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2008887343> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 93 of
93
with 100 items per page.
- W2008887343 endingPage "598" @default.
- W2008887343 startingPage "589" @default.
- W2008887343 abstract "The paper deals with the relation of the southern orientation of the north–south component Bz of the interplanetary magnetic field to geomagnetic activity (GA) and subsequently a method is suggested of using the found facts to forecast potentially dangerous high GA. We have found that on a day with very high GA hourly averages of Bz with a negative sign occur at least 16 times in typical cases. Since it is very difficult to estimate the orientation of Bz in the immediate vicinity of the Earth one day or even a few days in advance, we have suggested using a neural-network model, which assumes the worse of the possibilities to forecast the danger of high GA – the dominant southern orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field. The input quantities of the proposed model were information about X-ray flares, type II and IV radio bursts as well as information about coronal mass ejections (CME). In comparing the GA forecasts with observations, we obtain values of the Hanssen–Kuiper skill score ranging from 0.463 to 0.727, which are usual values for similar forecasts of space weather. The proposed model provides forecasts of potentially dangerous high geomagnetic activity should the interplanetary CME (ICME), the originator of geomagnetic storms, hit the Earth under the most unfavorable configuration of cosmic magnetic fields. We cannot know in advance whether the unfavorable configuration is going to occur or not; we just know that it will occur with the probability of 31%." @default.
- W2008887343 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2008887343 creator A5021044308 @default.
- W2008887343 creator A5068206713 @default.
- W2008887343 creator A5078370639 @default.
- W2008887343 creator A5087614278 @default.
- W2008887343 date "2014-02-01" @default.
- W2008887343 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2008887343 title "Strong geomagnetic activity forecast by neural networks under dominant southern orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field" @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1482372408 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1552228179 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1598507315 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1971140335 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1976816639 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1977061869 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1980286223 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1981619910 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1984395023 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W1998586968 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2013143226 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2020316301 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2032512974 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2034187093 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2034243338 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2059245803 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2078668657 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2081984044 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2082719813 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2089094344 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2092523780 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2095390947 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2127112787 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2137161790 @default.
- W2008887343 cites W2165368814 @default.
- W2008887343 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2013.12.005" @default.
- W2008887343 hasPublicationYear "2014" @default.
- W2008887343 type Work @default.
- W2008887343 sameAs 2008887343 @default.
- W2008887343 citedByCount "4" @default.
- W2008887343 countsByYear W20088873432015 @default.
- W2008887343 countsByYear W20088873432017 @default.
- W2008887343 countsByYear W20088873432019 @default.
- W2008887343 countsByYear W20088873432023 @default.
- W2008887343 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2008887343 hasAuthorship W2008887343A5021044308 @default.
- W2008887343 hasAuthorship W2008887343A5068206713 @default.
- W2008887343 hasAuthorship W2008887343A5078370639 @default.
- W2008887343 hasAuthorship W2008887343A5087614278 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C102988692 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C108411613 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C115260700 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C121332964 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C151325931 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C170641098 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C194462397 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C199635899 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C44870925 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C62520636 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C72886185 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConcept C8058405 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C102988692 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C108411613 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C115260700 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C121332964 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C151325931 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C170641098 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C194462397 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C199635899 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C44870925 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C62520636 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C72886185 @default.
- W2008887343 hasConceptScore W2008887343C8058405 @default.
- W2008887343 hasIssue "4" @default.
- W2008887343 hasLocation W20088873431 @default.
- W2008887343 hasOpenAccess W2008887343 @default.
- W2008887343 hasPrimaryLocation W20088873431 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W1977040549 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W2041447515 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W2089457728 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W2118246544 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W2159336769 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W2184781338 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W2313793282 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W3211444912 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W3215366418 @default.
- W2008887343 hasRelatedWork W4226171094 @default.
- W2008887343 hasVolume "53" @default.
- W2008887343 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2008887343 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W2008887343 magId "2008887343" @default.
- W2008887343 workType "article" @default.