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- W2010504995 abstract "We show that systematic forecast errors reveal that the Fed is “surprised” by real and inflationary cycles. The Fed knows the state of the economy for the current quarter, but cannot predict it one-quarter ahead." @default.
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- W2010504995 date "2010-07-01" @default.
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- W2010504995 title "Can the Fed predict the state of the economy?" @default.
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- W2010504995 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2010.04.010" @default.
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