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- W2010754406 abstract "How should one measure the natural rate of unemployment? This paper proposes a systems procedure as an alternative to NAIRU. The natural rate is treated as an unobserved state variable in a system that includes measurement equations for the unemployment rate, the rate of wage growth and the rate of inflation. The model is derived from a version of the wage bargaining model of Blanchard and embodies a version of the natural rate hypothesis. The model is estimated by embedding the Kalman filter within the full-information maximum likelihood procedure. For US data, the estimated model implies substantial post-war variation in the natural rate and a negative, but weak, effect of inflation surprises on unemployment. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd." @default.
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- W2010754406 date "1999-01-01" @default.
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- W2010754406 title "Estimating the natural rate of unemployment and testing the natural rate hypothesis" @default.
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- W2010754406 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1099-1255(199901/02)14:1<1::aid-jae495>3.0.co;2-#" @default.
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