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- W2012155108 abstract "We extend previous research examining the relation between interest rates and equity returns using a multivariate analysis of covariance model with a dynamic yield curve and conditioned term spread. We find yield pattern changes predict economic equity returns; that the long end-of-yield curve is a strong determinant factor; and, in contrast to previous research, we find no relation between a decrease in the short rate and equity returns. However, the conditional term spread captures a significant positive return indicating that the degree of decline in the short rate relative to the long rate is of more importance than the term spread alone." @default.
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- W2012155108 date "2014-01-28" @default.
- W2012155108 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2012155108 title "The conditional influence of term spread and pattern changes on future equity returns" @default.
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- W2012155108 doi "https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2013.859377" @default.
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