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- W2014961657 abstract "The fall of autocrats throughout postcommunist Eurasia between 1996 and 20051 did not always bring full-scale democracy. Yet these turnovers have inspired a number of insightful studies examining the politics of authoritarian breakdown.2 The recent scholarship focusing on this “second wave” of transitions in Central and Eastern Europe, sometimes known as “color revolutions,” has notably advanced our understanding of how and why certain postcommunist authoritarian regimes collapsed in the face of opposition mobilization. However, this literature’s focus on the effects of regional diffusion, leadership strategy, and popular protest provides only a limited understanding of the sources of postcommunist authoritarian failure. Although diffusion throughout the former Soviet sphere has been extensive, it has not in most cases been decisive in shaping outcomes. Thus it is in many ways misleading to conceptualize these events as a “wave.” Drawing on a study of competitive authoritarian regimes with Steven R. Levitsky, I identify a set of longer-term variables—including the degree of state and party capacity as well as the strength or weakness of links to the West—that more fully explains why some postcommunist leaders have successfully consolidated authoritarian rule while others have failed. This approach provides a means of identifying a priori which regimes may be most vulnerable to opposition challenges. Works on recent postcommunist authoritarian turnovers or “revolutions”3 have tended to fuse an emphasis on strategy and contingency, common to regime studies in the late 1980s and 1990s, with a more recent and growing literature on regional diffusion.4 One important and highly" @default.
- W2014961657 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2014961657 date "2008-01-01" @default.
- W2014961657 modified "2023-10-05" @default.
- W2014961657 title "The Real Causes of the Color Revolutions" @default.
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- W2014961657 doi "https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.0.0010" @default.
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