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- W2016878493 abstract "As a general methodology for long-term earthquake prediction an approach involving theoretical modelling of fault dynamics has been used. The time-dependent properties of the seismicity are obtained by allowing the system to evolve stochastically according to statistical dynamics (i.e. by means of a Chapman-Kolmogorov or Pauli Master equation). The results of these calculations are consistent with what little data is available for the distribution of intervals between major events. For example, in the case of Oaxaca the period over which a specific section of a fault may be considered to be most dangerous is the interval between 27 and 47 years after the last event in that particular region. The method may be extended to the estimation of regional hazard given the occurrence of premonitory phenomena, and this has been done in the case of foreshock events." @default.
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- W2016878493 date "1989-11-01" @default.
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- W2016878493 title "Statistical dynamics calculations of time-dependent seismicity" @default.
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- W2016878493 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1951(89)90195-9" @default.
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