FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2017174810> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W2017174810 abstract "An inductive method CA in the A-system of Carnap [1] is immodest, on evidence e, iff its estimate, on e, of its own accuracy is higher than its estimate, on e, of the accuracy of any rival method CA,. Immodesty seems to be a condition of stable trust: if you trusted a modest CA, you should start by trusting its advice to replace it by a rival that it estimates to be more accurate. One might guess that any CA would be immodest on any evidence. But in [2] I proved that, under a certain accuracy measure taken from Carnap [1], ?? 20-21, there would be exactly one immodest CA. Unfortunately, that one sometimes turns out to be Co (the straight rule); and since nobody in his right mind would trust Co we are then left with no acceptable CA. Stephen Spielman [3] has proposed a remedy: an estimate of accuracy, on evidence e, should disregard accuracy under circumstances that are ruled out by e. Spielman proves that if this change is made, any CA is immodest on any evidence. But Spielman forbears to mention that his remedy is exactly the one that I considered in the next-to-last paragraph of [2], and there rejected for a reason that turns out to be a bad one. So it is up to me to explain why it is that Spielman's remedy does succeed, despite what I said. What if e is null evidence: a sample of size zero ? Then e does not rule out any circumstance whatever, so Spielman's remedy makes no difference. But the case of null evidence is one of the cases in which I had proved that Co alone is immodest. So I wrote of the remedy that Spielman has now endorsed: This change might be appropriate on other grounds, but it will not solve our difficulty: Co is still uniquely immodest [on null evidence] ([2], p. 63). Since the remedy makes no difference in the case of null evidence, Spielman's results and mine seem to be in flat contradiction, casting doubt on both. He has proved that every Cx is immodest on null evidence; I proved that none but Co are. But the discrepancy is explained away if we keep track of the different approximations used by Spielman and myself. Approximations are not innocent here-not even if they become as good as you please in a large enough universe. If Cx estimates CA, to be the most accurate method, then CA is immodest iff A' = A exactly. An approximation that turns this exact equality into an approximate equality for all but one CA will radically distort the outcome. My approximations cause just such distortion, in the case of null evidence. Spielman's do not. Carnap proposes in [1], ?? 20-21, that the (in)accuracy of a method may be measured by its mean square error in estimating relative frequencies of Q-properties on the basis of samples of a fixed (arbitrarily chosen) size. Call this accuracymeasure A*. But since A* itself is mathematically intractable, Carnap derives a * Received February, 1973." @default.
• W2017174810 created "2016-06-24" @default.
• W2017174810 creator A5041744404 @default.
• W2017174810 date "1974-03-01" @default.
• W2017174810 modified "2023-10-05" @default.
• W2017174810 title "Spielman and Lewis on Inductive Immodesty" @default.
• W2017174810 cites W1974802461 @default.
• W2017174810 cites W2006246688 @default.
• W2017174810 cites W2075100177 @default.
• W2017174810 doi "https://doi.org/10.1086/288571" @default.
• W2017174810 hasPublicationYear "1974" @default.
• W2017174810 type Work @default.
• W2017174810 sameAs 2017174810 @default.
• W2017174810 citedByCount "20" @default.
• W2017174810 countsByYear W20171748102014 @default.
• W2017174810 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W2017174810 hasAuthorship W2017174810A5041744404 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C111472728 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C124101348 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C136764020 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C138885662 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C144237770 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C203763787 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C2777206241 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C2780009758 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C2780813799 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C36914074 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C38652104 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConcept C41895202 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C111472728 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C124101348 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C136764020 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C138885662 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C144237770 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C203763787 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C2777206241 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C2780009758 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C2780813799 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C33923547 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C36914074 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C38652104 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C41008148 @default.
• W2017174810 hasConceptScore W2017174810C41895202 @default.
• W2017174810 hasLocation W20171748101 @default.
• W2017174810 hasOpenAccess W2017174810 @default.
• W2017174810 hasPrimaryLocation W20171748101 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W14920685 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W1603889735 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2001744686 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2006127146 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2008697212 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2012408258 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2023406655 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2024964236 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2033193789 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2040506529 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2044372304 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2073803029 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2079217167 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2083982205 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2086295692 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2282976379 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2314893919 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2332032671 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W2332233904 @default.
• W2017174810 hasRelatedWork W849662299 @default.
• W2017174810 isParatext "false" @default.
• W2017174810 isRetracted "false" @default.
• W2017174810 magId "2017174810" @default.
• W2017174810 workType "article" @default.