Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2018083352> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 86 of
86
with 100 items per page.
- W2018083352 endingPage "2160" @default.
- W2018083352 startingPage "2149" @default.
- W2018083352 abstract "The possibility that a moderate earthquake may be followed by an equal or larger one (foreshock probability) increases the hazard in its immediate vicinity for a short time by an order of magnitude or more. Thus, foreshock probabilities are of interest for time-dependent seismic hazard forecasts. We calculate the probability of an initial earthquake (a foreshock) being followed by a mainshock in New Zealand, considering the parameters of elapsed time and distance and magnitude differences between foreshock and mainshock. We use nonaftershock events between 1964 and 2007, with magnitude ≥4.0 and shallower than 40 km, separating the catalog into events within and outside the Taupo volcanic zone (TVZ). We provide a model for the probability P ( t , r , δM ) that at time t after a potential foreshock (FS) of magnitude M FS and at distance r , a mainshock with magnitude M FS+ δM will occur: P ( t , r , δM )= P ×10(- BδM )( t + c t )- p t ( r + c r )- p r , where P , B , p t , c t , p r , and c r are constants to be determined.We find that (1) binning data using fixed intervals of time or space before fitting the parameters returns different values than a more robust approach of fitting directly the entire range, (2) foreshock probabilities decrease with increasing interevent time as described by a modified Omori law with an exponent p t close to 1 (0.9±0.2 [TVZ] and 0.8±0.1 elsewhere—uncertainty estimates are 95% confidence intervals throughout this study), (3) foreshock probabilities decrease with increasing epicentral distance also following a modified Omori type decay with exponent p r of 0.9±0.2 (non-TVZ) and 1.7±0.6 (TVZ), and (4) the mainshock magnitude distribution follows the Gutenberg–Richter relationship ( B =1.0±0.17 [non-TVZ] and 1.5±0.5 [TVZ]). The differences between the TVZ and the rest of New Zealand are consistent with higher attenuation in the region, deduced from previous studies." @default.
- W2018083352 created "2016-06-24" @default.
- W2018083352 creator A5033835573 @default.
- W2018083352 creator A5034454973 @default.
- W2018083352 creator A5046172293 @default.
- W2018083352 creator A5066208386 @default.
- W2018083352 creator A5081626272 @default.
- W2018083352 date "2008-10-01" @default.
- W2018083352 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
- W2018083352 title "Time-, Distance-, and Magnitude-Dependent Foreshock Probability Model for New Zealand" @default.
- W2018083352 cites W1629209661 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W1904429860 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W1989576826 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W1991794817 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W1999287311 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2001974464 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2007412320 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2018314772 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2020455843 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2039478111 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2043593343 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2066437717 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2082972502 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2092832730 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2098668795 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2124681219 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2124740263 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2145852790 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2148407447 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2155410177 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2275265171 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2292057472 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2336621256 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2338504480 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W2592836701 @default.
- W2018083352 cites W27965200 @default.
- W2018083352 doi "https://doi.org/10.1785/0120060217" @default.
- W2018083352 hasPublicationYear "2008" @default.
- W2018083352 type Work @default.
- W2018083352 sameAs 2018083352 @default.
- W2018083352 citedByCount "7" @default.
- W2018083352 countsByYear W20180833522012 @default.
- W2018083352 countsByYear W20180833522013 @default.
- W2018083352 countsByYear W20180833522016 @default.
- W2018083352 countsByYear W20180833522022 @default.
- W2018083352 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2018083352 hasAuthorship W2018083352A5033835573 @default.
- W2018083352 hasAuthorship W2018083352A5034454973 @default.
- W2018083352 hasAuthorship W2018083352A5046172293 @default.
- W2018083352 hasAuthorship W2018083352A5066208386 @default.
- W2018083352 hasAuthorship W2018083352A5081626272 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConcept C121332964 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConcept C126691448 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConcept C1276947 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConcept C147412999 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConcept C156801008 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConcept C165205528 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConceptScore W2018083352C121332964 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConceptScore W2018083352C126691448 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConceptScore W2018083352C127313418 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConceptScore W2018083352C1276947 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConceptScore W2018083352C147412999 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConceptScore W2018083352C156801008 @default.
- W2018083352 hasConceptScore W2018083352C165205528 @default.
- W2018083352 hasIssue "5" @default.
- W2018083352 hasLocation W20180833521 @default.
- W2018083352 hasOpenAccess W2018083352 @default.
- W2018083352 hasPrimaryLocation W20180833521 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W1534404108 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W1968107979 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W2018613993 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W2020455843 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W2155410177 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W2253169742 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W2299249484 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W2499448612 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W3120340482 @default.
- W2018083352 hasRelatedWork W4252500195 @default.
- W2018083352 hasVolume "98" @default.
- W2018083352 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2018083352 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W2018083352 magId "2018083352" @default.
- W2018083352 workType "article" @default.