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- W2019885725 abstract "Forecasts for the current year that are made sometime during the current year are not true annual forecasts because they include already known information for the early part of the year. The current methodology that evaluates these ‘forecasts’ does not take into account the known information. This article presents a methodology for calculating an implicit forecast for the latter part of a year conditional on the known information. We then apply the procedure to Japanese forecasts for 1988–2003 and analyse some of the characteristics of those predictions." @default.
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- W2019885725 date "2010-05-20" @default.
- W2019885725 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W2019885725 title "Evaluating current-year forecasts made during the year: a Japanese example" @default.
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- W2019885725 doi "https://doi.org/10.1080/13504850802297848" @default.
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