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- W2019989730 abstract "We consider whether survey respondents’ probability distributions, reported as histograms, provide reliable and coherent point predictions, when viewed through the lens of a Bayesian learning model. We argue that a role remains for eliciting directly-reported point predictions in surveys of professional forecasters." @default.
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- W2019989730 title "Probability distributions or point predictions? Survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation" @default.
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- W2019989730 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2013.07.010" @default.
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