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- W2021044517 abstract "SAM CONCERNED with social prediction only as a functioning concept in the study of and adjustment to human affairs. Perhaps prediction is not an adequate term for my purposes here. Functioning may be better. By functioning historical understanding I mean, not merely having taken courses or even majored in history, but however acquired, the kind of savvy of basic European, Asian, Middle Eastern, African, and Latin American situations that may help us to know, for each of those vast currently and prospectively disturbing areas: (1) how it has come to its present state of affairs and significant attitudes; (2) what that present state of affairs and those significant attitudes are; and (3) what may be necessary and feasible for our intellectual and political leadership to do and not to do in order to adjust to developments there. We need to know how the great flow of history has brought what is out there. And we need to know basically what is out there so we may come to livable terms with that great flow of history, which continues to flow, and in which we must learn to live. There is no other practicable place or medium in which we can live. This developmental concept of history is to be distinguished from a newer more limited working concept in which specific cases of past great crisis decision-making may be selected for imaginative and creative comparison with a more recent specific crisis case.'" @default.
- W2021044517 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W2021044517 date "1964-12-01" @default.
- W2021044517 modified "2023-10-18" @default.
- W2021044517 title "Historical Bases for Prediction in International Relations: Some Implications for American Foreign Policy" @default.
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- W2021044517 doi "https://doi.org/10.1177/106591296401700404" @default.
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